Roadmap 2025/26: Accuracy Up, Variance Down
August 19, 2025
For 2025/26 we’re focused on calibration and explainability:
- Availability modeling at lineup level (who starts, not just who’s fit).
- Isotonic calibration per league using Brier loss.
- Feature attributions on match cards so you can see why the model leans one way.
- More robust handling of cup rotations and fixture congestion.
Incremental improvements compound. Expect +1–2 percentage points in the hardest leagues over the season.