Roadmap 2025/26: Accuracy Up, Variance Down

August 19, 2025

For 2025/26 we’re focused on calibration and explainability:

• Availability modeling at lineup level (who starts, not just who’s fit).
• Isotonic calibration per league using Brier loss.
• Feature attributions on match cards so you can see why the model leans one way.
• More robust handling of cup rotations and fixture congestion.

Incremental improvements compound. Expect +1–2 percentage points in the hardest leagues over the season.

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