How to Read WinPred Cards: Confidence, Not Certainty
August 9, 2025
A quick guide to the elements on each match card:
- Outcome pick: Home / Draw / Away—our highest probability outcome, not a guarantee.
- Confidence bar: a band summarizing information richness and model agreement.
- Price edge: the gap between our implied probability and the current market price (where available).
- Top exact scores: the mode and the next two most probable scores to guide alternative markets.
Smart usage
- Compare our implied probability to the odds you can actually get.
- Scale stake size with confidence, not with emotion.
- Track your own results per market; specialization beats generalization.
The card is a cockpit: fast, clear and honest about uncertainty.